Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.027528 14.573234 16.245771 18.192706 20.400154 22.829100 25.709477
2025-06-01 10.720540 12.779055 15.166923 18.151938 21.798061 26.125075 31.676197
2025-06-08 9.040638 11.395203 14.299717 18.170057 23.228093 29.662618 38.546040
2025-06-15 7.970975 10.575413 13.975934 18.786055 25.487192 34.598399 48.106263
2025-06-22 6.860924 9.528717 13.194061 18.667399 26.752784 38.445806 56.982324
2025-06-29 5.881742 8.511763 12.295486 18.231983 27.488421 41.667084 65.610126
2025-07-06 5.145442 7.733619 11.619170 18.003449 28.478017 45.424745 75.837707
2025-07-13 4.722553 7.362735 11.493770 18.595460 30.848493 51.785133 91.739990
2025-07-20 4.360936 7.034911 11.383961 19.186484 33.309329 58.740772 110.260885
2025-07-27 3.992162 6.643834 11.112456 19.452117 35.236267 65.096379 129.122796
2025-08-03 3.595620 6.153397 10.603693 19.211499 36.180896 69.774732 145.714876
2025-08-10 3.242387 5.694096 10.088191 18.875992 36.877349 74.081860 162.546982
2025-08-17 2.934530 5.287265 9.630288 18.611594 37.734851 79.026043 182.439618
2025-08-24 2.680537 4.950256 9.261159 18.470744 38.836135 84.747452 205.828689
2025-08-31 2.466986 4.665133 8.956357 18.417614 40.126477 91.186688 232.934558
2025-09-07 2.340521 4.535545 8.944267 18.989174 42.946998 101.879111 274.684336
2025-09-14 2.158430 4.272389 8.624711 18.830492 44.016784 108.484768 307.029485
2025-09-21 1.970297 3.975684 8.198361 18.363633 44.248302 112.985516 334.590985
2025-09-28 1.820694 3.743873 7.884181 18.113803 44.987725 119.030776 369.043427
2025-10-05 1.747855 3.669838 7.910332 18.695190 48.034512 132.297969 432.191067
2025-10-12 1.680101 3.599312 7.935460 19.278729 51.210505 146.753919 505.085777
2025-10-19 1.596310 3.483264 7.840290 19.537680 53.525442 159.179056 575.460611
2025-10-26 1.489361 3.302511 7.569642 19.290105 54.311770 166.942449 630.801133